Ever since I saw the Millennium Project scenarios for the future of work, based on in-depth studies all over the world, I have been ever more worried about potential catastrophes if we all just follow the paths of least resistance, both on the issue of work and on how the Internet of Things (IOT) develops. The two are related, as in six slides I put together about a year ago:
To find a way forward which is sustainable (which allows us humans even to stay alive!!)., it is necessary but not sufficient that there be aggressive new development of the kind of greater IT platforms which do not just roll over everything else we do. I still think that the "new paradigm" slide includes key, necessary elements for such new platforms, but it bugs me go realize that there are other really crucial elements missing in that ;picture, even just on the IT side.
This morning, I feel I have more of a sense of what is missing, and it has direct connections to ...
In truth, I have also been ever more depressed by what I see on the news lately, which feels more and more like "damned if you do, damned if you don't." It's a complicated story...
but at the end of the day, it seems clear that LONG-TERM there simply will not be enough of the kind of jobs people want most (the kind which support large families) for everyone on earth. It can't be done. Yes, it is feasible to eliminate hunger worldwide and to eliminate lack of access to many basics, but ... not to meet this high standard for jobs. I'm tempted to say more about why, but this is already a long post.
Is a world of a constant or bounded sum game doomed to war, and then extinction? Many implicitly assume so these days. But millions of years of life on earth say otherwise. Max Weber, in particular, discusses the kinds of patterns -- above all, of legitimacy -- which make it possible for a society to survive and do reasonably well despite the inevitable deep conflicts.
It is interesting, as we scan instabilities in culture and politics today, that the themes of racism and the theme "it's a rigged system" go hand in hand. When I was growing up, fierce competition and selection were expected, but so long as it was a fair system, judging people as individuals not on the basis of things like race, people did not feel threatened.
And so: I wonder: is it possible to start thinking of humane personnel management IT for large corporations and government, even more open and transparent as the FASTLANE system we once used to manage fierce competitions at NSF (but without the backdoors and short circuits which made a mockery of that system since about 2014), with really serious open standards, to create a reliable context for human collaboration and competition, which could restore more of a sense of fairness?
It may seem odd to talk about that at a time when the important reforms of Teddy Roosevelt are being dismantled by myopic people, but his time was scary too.
Just a next generation business process reengineering, with much more of a human emphasis? And pushing for hardwired rules to better empower humans?
The core issue for the US is with folks whose income comes from employment in such large organizations, so that is a rational place to start rethinking things from ground up.
Links to others are important, in time, but the core challenge is interesting enough, certainly requiring a kind of COLLABORATION of world class IT, really serious HR understanding, and even advanced psychology stuff. (I think of a great talk I heard by Miguel Nicolelis last month, well worth anyone's attention. He has taught the lame to walk, and found new ways to use truly noninvasive brain computer interface technology.)
Just some initial thoughts...
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