Thursday, September 14, 2017

my response to someone's idea about North Korean crisis

There were lots of folks arguing for tactical nuclear weapons years ago. Just think of what money certain contractors could get from that!

But folks like Hermann Kahn and Tom Schelling looked a bit more deeply into how these things actually work, back in the days when Congress and White House were less subservient to sales pitches from stakeholders, and more diligent about careful reality testing. 

Still, it is scary just how effectively China and Russia are backing the US and Japan into a hole, the kind of hole where we almost have no choice but to try Cuban missile crisis backwards, putting hardened offensive ICBMs into full control of South Korea, because (1) South Koreans are asking for it very hard; (2) it may be our only way to avoid options whose long-term outcome is far worse. Terrible, but if China and Russia bet on our myopia and stupidity, we have excellent reason to make it clear to them quickly that better options need to be implemented quickly.

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Another factor is that neither of the missiles sent over Japan were intercepted. Why did Lockheed (and their supporters like Ron Paul) not push for a demo of shooting down at that point? Don't imagine that North Korea or China or Russia would ignore the "paper tiger" interpretation, that intercept would not work. It is ironic that Senator Paul recently cast a diatribe against Trump and Brindenstine, well-crafted to match exactly what he and his friends
(like Shelby and Lamar Smith, the Texas mafia and satellites) have ACTUALLY being doing for decades with ULA, systematically weakening the US launch capability, interception ability, and advanced tech in general... all just to preserve cash cows. Yes, Senator Paul can describe such things well, as an insider of the bigger ring we ever had. The swamp. Now comes time to pay the piper, and I doubt Trump will just accept what-me-worry anesthesia. 

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