Sunday, February 10, 2019

Warren's speech and the Green New Deal: evaluation for space people

When a space engineer conc erned about energy talked about the relation between his new book on energy and the Green New Deal (GND), I did not comment, because I have not really studied the GND material. One of the best people in the core IEEE energy policy group recently posted a link:

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1. 
H.Res.109 — 116th Congress (2019-2020)Recognizing the duty of the Federal Government to create a Green New Deal.Sponsor: Rep. Ocasio-Cortez, Alexandria [D-NY-14] (Introduced 02/07/2019) Cosponsors: (67)Committees: House - Energy and Commerce, Science, Space, and Technology, Education and Labor, Transportation and Infrastructure, Agriculture, Natural Resources, Foreign Affairs, Financial Services, Judiciary, Ways and Means, Oversight and ReformLatest Action: House - 02/07/2019 Referred to the Committee on Energy and Commerce, and in addition to the Committees on Science, Space, and Technology, Education and Labor, Transportation and Infrastructure, Agriculture, Natural Resources, Foreign Affairs, Financial Services, the Judiciary, Ways... (All Actions)

Note it is  a resolution, not a Bill.
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I certainly noticed Elizabeth Warren's commitment to the GND idea in her speech, which I heard in its entirety on CNN (while also doing sudoku and emails, as avoidance behaviors while trying to ponder difficult basic problems in quantum optics).

Warren's speech was extremely powerful, but at the end I remembered the three questions I would ask of any proposal to NSF: What? how? Why?
In the "how" department, would she as President be capable of   leading an aggressive creative effort to prevent major climate damage, taking full advantage of important "out of the  box" options like realistic SSP (which requires structure testing at WPAFB among other things), like productizing and rationally incentivizing biochar, and like developing and testing new geoengineering options? My response is: I don't know. Reading that GND link probably wouldn't tell me, either. It seems she is a lawyer, as was Obama (who also electrified people with good early speeches), but she doesn't play golf and she pays more attention to SOME numbers, but for now I just don't know. 

My sense of humor injects: maybe GND is more a product of Ocasio-Cortez, who looks a little like the woman in Bezos' lewd pictures. Since Bezos is pro-space, what would happen if he started hanging out with HER? But I doubt they would bring their thermal and mechanical stresses in repeated reentry to WPAFB for testing. 

So much I do not know...

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In truth, one of the emails I responded to yesterday concerned a quantum optics experiment proposed by Julia Mossbridge. That's what really got me thinking about our three questions. In that case, the question was "what."

These three questions were all part of our evaluation work, a very fundamental aspect of any effective organization, discussed at:

https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=2268415836522154&set=a.176850262345399&type=3&theater

But is evaluation just a matter of scoring or choosing according to some specific value function J?
It is more complicated. Even the more powerful evaluation methods of "vector intelligence" would give a whole vector of values, lambda. There were people in constructive, functional psychology decades ago who would ask about "affordances;" instead of asking "is it good?" they would ask "good for what?" That's a useful practical way to think at times, and there is new math behind it; however, the new math is so powerful that I have decided not to push it much now, when so much of the world is hell bent on misusing AI in ways which could create hell on earth. Could Warren or Ocasio-Cortes support effective ways to get us out of THOSE boxes? Again, I don't know. There is certainly no base solution. 

Trump has also made serious promises to build a new space force, but will HE get out of the box, past the lobbyists and the swamp, enough to make it real? We hope but we worry.

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