Saturday, February 10, 2018

Could solipsism destroy the human species?

Does that sound like a bit of an overstatement, an exercise in alarmism or exaggeration? Be careful what you assume. Since a time five years ago, many things have happened which seemed impossible, to those who assume nothing can change. 

But what can REALLY cause the human species to become extinction? That is an important question, to us, and I am glad that there are groups like the Lifeboat Foundation and assorted futurists who really try to remember that question and address it in a serious way. High on the list of things which really threaten the very survival of the species, in a direct and concrete way are still nuclear war (and its aftermath, and perhaps biological warfare as well), but the possibilities for climate change at the fatal level are far greater than most people know as yet, and the Tderminator AI threat is also real. (See www.werbos.com/IT_big_picture.pdf and the loinks at the end to back it up.) 

But at the end of the day, whether these horrid, ever more likely disasters will actually happen depends on how humans respond to the challenges and the threats. That in turn depends on what kinds of assumptions they hard wire both in the symbolic reasoning part of their brains, and in IT systems. We all know already that there are many varieties of solipsism out there -- the belief that there is not objective reality, or that we can safely make it go away by ignoring it. But this morning, a particular form of it comes to mind.

Many people believe that high level decisions all over the world have been made less constructive and intelligent because of a deterioration in the quality of information sources, such as "fake news". The naive, solipsistic approach to that is to build government agencies which stamp out views which are not the truth AS SEEN by political authorities. An objective viewpoint would admit that all of us are fallible, and try to come up with better systems, and make that real. As IT takes over the world .. NOT JUST Terminator robots, but the Internet of Things which has been moving very very quickly... naive solipsistic policies and designs really could kill us, simply because of the lack of real intelligence in the system in the face of complex challenges. 

Easier to say than to fix. Systems design when humans play a central role is not trivial. We now know how to build consciousness, but human survival is a more difficult challenge. 

=================

That is what I posted this morning to the Vedanta list, after a discussion in the morning with IT people. The design issue really is tricky, with risks of unintended consequences. 

So many complicated aspects beyond what I can type in a few seconds.
"Trust but calibrate."
What it takes to look ahead 20 moves in real logic ... partly knowing logic, partly not flinching the way almost everyone else on earth tends to do. 
Disney's great cartoons about the ostrich burying its head in the sand... and Disney himself, more of a spiritual leader and teacher than 99% of the world knows. 

======

But today... after a week of learning more about taxes (ugh! but actually a good thing in the end, and also an exercise in the positive value of not flinching... and not labelling things as negative which weren't... except in certain administrative details...)... it will be great today to calm down, wander a little with Luda, and review some new physics stuff. 

Luda did suggest I do a simple search on Senagtor JOhnson, when I was upset how little followon I saw to the five minutes he got on CNN a few weeks back. The 25 page paper form Wednesday on his web page was not treally encouraging... yet it is consistent with the hypothesis that his informer gave him excellent raw data, even if he didn't know enough to analyze it properly. It was also shocking to me how much this news search rmeinded me of looking up existentialism in the university library in Leningrad in 1968... tons of commentary and evaluation of X, and almost impossible to find out what X actually WAS... 

Sunday, February 4, 2018

Which ideas or feelings "reach consciousness"? NONE!!!

The neuroscientists on the Vedanta list have had major debates on WHICH ideas (or qualia...) reach consciousness. My conclusion: 

it is grossly misleading to imagine that some ideas, sensations or feelings "reach consciousness" and that others do not. Our "consciousness" or "awareness" OF an idea or feeling is not even just a matter of degree; it is a matter of degree and "of geography," of what part of the brain or mind is aware of what other part.

Here is more explanation and detail: 

=========================================

Today I am supposed to do taxes, not consciousness, and I already posted enough to the sadhu and MOM lists just a few minutes ago. But in Aflredo's post, he refers quickly to a VERY important aspect of consciousness which calls out for comment:

Alfredo: Almost right! It is the ACCESSIBLE correlate of consciousness.

Many, many papers on consciousness, including even solid empirical research, focus on the question:

"WHICH thoughts (or ideas or impulses or feelings) REACH consciousness, or are ACCESSIBLE to consciousness?"

Karl Pribram once held an entire workshop on this KIND of issue, collecting the best researchers in the world relevant... not only to the answer, but to the question itself. 
The question itself makes an incorrect assumption; better understanding of consciousness requires overcoming that assumption.

But how to explain? This is subtle stuff. 

Karl was deeply impressed by what we can learn from the "blindsight" experiments. Having less memory of those experiments than he had, I always think back to the classic split brain experiments, which are very impressive to watch. (You lucky folks can just go to youtube and search on "split brain experiments". I did just now, and saw many many things... the first being 
which I hope is as impressive as what I saw years ago.)

The key point in THOSE experiments: thoughts, feelings, inputs available to the LEFT hemisphere are not always the same as those available/accessible to the RIGHT hemisphere. The blindsight experiments take that further, in more  normal brains. (Hey, maybe I should watch 
www.youtube.com/watch?v=kTaTMrtMDNs ...). What is accessible to ONE part of the brain or mind is NOT IDENTICAL to what is accessible to another.
it is grossly misleading to imagine that some ideas, sensations or feelings "reach consciousness" and that others do not. Our "consciousness" or "awareness" OF an idea or feeling is not even just a matter of degree; it is a matter of degree and "of geography," of what part of the brain or mind is aware of what other part.

========

For those seriously interested in yoga and such, there is a further distinction of importance. Access by one part of the cortex to something else actually has two levels -- current, direct access and POTENTIAL access. The brain (and the soul and the noosphere) all have focus or attention or gating mechanisms, absolutely fundamental to how they work (how we work), which can be shifted by an act of will so as to provide direct access to information which would otherwise NOT be accessible. 
(This resonates a lot with Dean Radin's new book, Real Magic!! But it also resonates with a paper by Olshausen on visual cortex, in one of Arbib's earlier Brain Handbooks.) 

Best of luck,

   Paul

explanation and scientific replication of astral travel

Previously on the Vedanta discussion list, Vinod reminded us that centuries of experience in yoga have led to the development of methods to teach people how to do many things, including astral travel. Stan Klein reminded us of the need to replicate ANY psi phenomenon in a more repeatable, scientific way (as Dean Radin's new book Real Magic expands on). There seem to be three basic theories (or families of theories?) about astral travel which different people assume:

(1) BODY TRAVEL: the theory that we have an actual astral body which travels around the world and to other planes of existence;

(2) IMAGINARY OR DREAM travel: the theory that each of us concocts these images by the same mechanism our brain uses in concocting dreams;

(3) MENTAL SPACE theory: the theory that astral travel is "real" to the extent that it can bring us information not possible in the mundane world, but that it is a journey through a kind of collective MENTAL space.

All of this is meant in a practical way, as a way of trying to make sense of experience -- and, ideally, to pave the way for more replication and a possibility of more third person science.  (Let us skip the metasemantics for now, please.)

Those of us who ascribe a significant probability EITHER to theory 1 or to theory 3 really should pay attention to Stan's call for better replicability, not only to make the benefits available to more people, but also to improve our own personal development. CHOOSING 1 or 3 is not as important as expanding the first person base, in a way which also allows more useful sharing of experience. 

In replying to Vinod's post on this, I agreed strongly that the experience of yoga here in training people to do astral travel is important, and should be explored and developed further, but ALSO noted that there are other very important and very serious training systems developed in other cultures as well (including even those which view astral travel as just a byproduct of something else). My quick list was not all that bad as a crude starting point...

But... early this morning... in a state which I label to myself as "cosmic consciousness"... I suddenly realized that I failed to list a very important piece of work, possibly the work which actually comes closest to the goal of scientific replicability of astral travel. If we go back, and re-examine that work in that light, perhaps we can appreciate how important it is, for anyone interested in astral travel.

I  refer to the work reported in "Lucid Dreaming" by LaBerge. I recommend that anyone interested in astral travel buy his classic 1990 book for $10 from Amazon if you do not have access to it in another way:

LaBerge's book is far more humble than books from Joan Roberts, for example, who writes ponderous tomes claiming to voice the words of great disembodied spirits. She in turn is far more humble than folks who claim to speak for (or be) God Himself. But does humility prove the guy knows less about the big things? We really need to resist that kind of misleading stereotype!! In Jane Robert's work, the book I like/respect most is her Oversoul Seven trilogy; I remember three vivid and important images from that trilogy, one of them the story of a reasonable but proud mystic who learns to pay more attention to the real, humble things "just under his own nose." 

So please let us pay attention to LaBerge's book.

First, note that LaBerge is a real scientist, an empirical researcher (at Stanford) whose work has been published in Science. He was president of the international sleep research society.

"But" the glorious would protest "He is talking about dreams, not astral travel."

But if we pay attention... his book is full of protocols and records of what people saw and did in his laboratory. If you take one look at those records, you will instantly see the relevance. Words like "I started as usual floating up over my body... then floated through the wall.." LaBerge realized that with solid records like that, he did not need to make great claims about his metaconsciousness. The words spoke for themselves.. so strongly that he needed to calm dopwn his scientific colleagues. And how did he do that? By saying "No, of course I do not believe this was a real physical journey. It was all just a journey within the mind." And then he footnoted philosophical works suggesting that all is mind. In effect, LaBerge, like me, supports theory 3 above, the theory that astral travel is a journey in mental space. But -- above all, LaBerge has laboratory tested protocols which regularly CREATE this type of mental experience. I do not know whether any psi lab has gone further, to connect LaBerge's protocols with tests of psi, but that would certainly make sense to do. (Perhaps someone on this list will tell us it has been done or attempted. Or not. I have not even read LaBerge's more recent books.)

========================================================

That's the serious message. Then some off-beat personal comments/footnotes.

Given how hard it is to express tricky ideas in words, long streams of words, we also need to make room for jokes -- for very quick statements, labelled clearly as imperfect, analogous to haiku. Among the half-true jokes which came to me on this subject:

"Today I am supposed to do taxes. Since only death and taxes are inevitable, let me avoid taxes for now with something more pleasant -- death."

"If we are all part of God, God must be schizophrenic."

Theory 3 says that when we die, as individual humans, there are only two possibilities: (1) we end altogether, as in theory 2, where old folks like me need to pay ever more attention on passing on whatever we can to family and others;
(2) we may live on to some extent as a thought or collection of thoughts, inhabiting a mental space. Theory 3 suggests that old folks especially need to think about ALL they can pass on, not only the mundane aspect (1) but ALSO the thoughts which can be passed on or preserved in collective mental space.

The idea of collective mental space is not new, and not limited to speculations about the universe itself as mind. I have often talked about the "noosphere" or de Chardin and Verdansky. Carl Jung certainly talks about collective mind as well.
But "Is God schizophrenic?" Early this morning I asked my wife to think about little girls, how they might LOOK schizophrenic on the surface.. when really, they are just little girls, playing at many things, growing up but not growing up in one big jump. My theory of the noosphere is NOT a religious worship of Verdansky's version; it is a major modification of that theory, even larger than my modification MQED of David Deutsch's version of QED. 

Best of luck,

  Paul

===============

P.S. As I review this, I realize someone might ask "But what is this cosmic consciousness" state? Very simply, it is not necessary for a brain to have ONLY 2-D or 3-D visual images as the only thoughts inside it. Mental space also includes abstractions and more universal concepts and collective memories. To me, "cosmic consciousness" simply connotes a more flexible and direct communication within the system, without the need for mental props, and with some ability to shift focus naturally linked to a kind of emergent cognitive map of it. 

Here is a previous dialogue with some relevance to that question:

Vinod:
 
What is the meaning of stating that noosphere like earth organisms have body, brain, and cells? Do you want to state that the way our earth is inhabited by the living organisms having bodies made of cells and brain similarly the noosphere is also inhabited by living organisms having their own bodies? cells and the brain? If it is so, I agree with it but I don;t think such bodies in the noosphere should have bodies made of cells and brain.

I try to remember as clearly as possible what I think I know, and what I don't -- even after intense explorations.

The basic idea that we humans are a symbiosis of visible body and noosphere component I hold to quite tightly, since I see no other possible TENABLE explanation for what we have experienced, short of assuming things like our entire multiverse being someone's computer simulation and other such ideas for which we have no empirical "hook" and no way to use them as yet.

But what is the noosphere of earth or of our solar system really like, IN DETAIL? I have actually considered different possible images. These different images are related DIRECTLY to the different views of reincarnation which were discussed on this list before. 

There is one possible image which I now think of as the "Aurobindo" model, based on a post giving his view. (I am sorry I cannot easily find and cite that post, using gmail.) In that model, each of us in a symbiosis of body and a GROUP of cells or "seeds of memory" in the larger brain of the noosphere, cells which simply get reused after we die. The information lives, but the personal identity does not, EXCEPT to the extent that the information saved contains CONNECTIONS holding the information together in a coherent and active way, preserving something like the personal identity. (Ouspensky and Bennett have explained Gurdjieff's ideas and yoga-like exercises for how to create such a persistent identity. I forget whether Dean Radin's new book Real Magic discusses those specific exercises.) But why would one bother to preserve a personal identity anyway? Well, preserving and expanding the noosphere part of our mind is a natural process in general; connections and coherence are a natural part of that, of positive value but not to be overvalued. 

But there is an opposite extreme possibility. Many neuroscientists have argued that neurons are organized into "assemblies" or "modules" or "columns" which hold together over time. In the mathematics of neural networks (which apply here as they do to simpler types of brains), there are good functional reasons why this should be so. The great animal behaviorist, M.E. Bitterman, has even argued (with recent support from E.O. Wilson) that HIVES of bees have achieved a qualitative level of intelligence/consciousness as high as mammals, higher than reptiles, as a kind of collective intelligence effect. And so, it is possible that our personal "souls" (the noosphere component of each of us) DO have a fundamental hard-wired persistent identity in the noosphere, either as modules or as "bees" (NO LESS connected than that, to meet what we see empirically).. or a mix of both types?... (Indeed, it is possible that the noosphere contains a combination of "seed cells," module souls and bee souls, IN ADDITION to other information-bearing entities which are not linked to animal bodies.) 

But no, it seems very unlikely to me that we have actual personal BODIES in the noosphere, for many reasons. Above all, my experience with astral travel, for example, stresses that it is travel through a MENTAL space (which I view as the mental space of the noosphere). Some astral travelers (Besant? Fox?) say that "the astral plane has regions closer to the earth and farther from the earth." But Fox, who chronicled his experience with  OOBE on earth in great detail, gives examples showing that "close" is NOT identical. And it is well-known that we can change our apparent form (or "avatar" as defined in internet work) over a wide range, if we so choose and learn how. Neurons CAN influence the physical action of muscles, BY WAY of the effects which occur when information passes from them to other neurons to other channels in the nervous system; such  circuits are sometimes very short, and sometimes long.


 VINOD FURTHER COMMENTED: 
Of course, the inhabitants of noosphere should have their own unique " cognitive system"  but whether this system is composed of cells and brain does not seem to be logic. In the noosphere, there is no baryonic matter of quantum particles, therefore, there should be no cells and brain as we know. The "cognitive system: of the inhabitants of the noosphere should be composed of some ontological substance, as distinct from the e.m field/quantum particles.

I would claim that the evolution of life in the ocean of dark matter would "start" with (be built upon) evolution of ITS kind of cells, made up of dark matter, which permits the further evolution of structures like brains and noospheres composed of such dark matter cells. 

The brain of our noosphere has its own cognitive structure, and its own dark matter cell components, and the same additional complexities we see in ordinary matter brains (and more).  These are of course not ordinary matter cells. How different is dark matter form ordinary matter? Of course we do not know yet, but its properties need not be radically different from some of the possibilities within the scope of serious physics. 


 
That is why in my previous message, I posed a specific issue to you regarding your views on the ontology of noosphere - whether it is having its own ontological substance as distinct from physical fields/particles or an extension/manifestation of physical e.m field/physical quantum particles. But somehow, You seemed to have overlooked this query since I don't find any mention of this in your message

Fair enough. I cannot say how "ontological" dark matter may be. I do not have any empirical "hook" to justify assuming too many exotic properties, but in truth we do not yet have a well-grounded model of anything but the gravitational properties. 

 I previously wrote:

I view the "astral plane" as totally or pr in aquiteimarily a "dream of the noosphere", the dream/thoughts of an actual person (if an intelligent organism can be properly understood as a person). Brains do look different from the viewpoint of a neuron in the brain, versus from the outside. 

Vinod:
 
I treat astral plane of nature and noosphere as synonymous though I don't know if the ontological astral matter is the same as the dark matter of the Physicists hypothesized to explain extra gravitation. But I understand and believe that in the state of Samaadhi thru the subjective 1pp   experiences, the ontological reality of the Astral world, with astral beings possessing astral bodies, can be viewed in a quite vivid and reproducible manner.

This point is extremely important, much more important than the majority of what we discuss on this list. 

The word "reproducible" is most important.

Many cultures in the world worked very hard, through centuries, to develop protocols and training methods to allow the reproduction of such experiences, and it is very unfortunate that important knowledge may have been lost. Dean Radin's new  book Real Magic addresses some of that. I have benefitted from reading many useful sources, such as Walsh's book Shamanism, Corbin's book on life in the Sufis (perpetuating techniques of the Pythagorean school), Western mysticism, and many things from China. (Probably some others I forget. I do cite De Chardin, Greeley, Besant, Orson Scott Card etc., at times.) It would be good if the knowledge AND the uncertainties about HOW to generate and reproduce such experiences could be better unified, and studied with more intensity and focus. 
I am not sure how to make that happen, but I view it as one of the VERY most important challenges before humanity at the present time. 








Wednesday, January 24, 2018

response to IEEEUSA post "Canada ahead of US in climate race"

I don't know where to begin with this.

I was really sad when a guy came to our local Quaker meeting from the local Interfaith Climate Alliance, and discussed how our area could "lead the race" by requiring local buildings to install solar panels and giving out little brown stars people could display. It is sad that most people can do little more about climate change than make such fashion statements, but IEEE(USA) is unique in being in a position to actually help in a large and useful way which could really make a difference. It is deeply painful to me that we aren't doing it. No amount of political calculations could possibly justify our failure to speak truth to power as we, because of our expertise, have a unique responsibility for doing.

IS net carbon emission from electric power generation one of the important big drivers of bad climate change? Maybe that's a bit beyond our capacity to agree on, but 
the article on Canada certainly assumes so, so let us ask what that implies. 

In my view, the number one thing the US could do to accelerate renewable electricity in this country, within current budgets (and without really big hidden taxes), is to give FERC authority to approve interstate transmission lines EXACTLY as it now has authority to approve natural gas pipelines. At the last meeting I attended of EPC, there seemed to be a strong consensus to try to go ahead now, as we would if we really cared (not just to make a fashion statement but to make a difference). EEI has told me they tried hard to push this years ago, as did Pickens (who was ready to build and invest if regulations had not prevented it). But they did not have visible enough or articulate enough "public"  types of supporters. But then the hired staff informed us that "STEM spending" is the all-arching required priority, and that the best we could do is advise spending new money at NAS to talk about the issue, to be buried somewhere deep where no one would really see it anyway. Others told me that this kind of cutting through today's tangle of regulation would play into Trump's priorities too much, and they feared helping Trump too much by making him look good.
So I keep wondering: do we ONLY care about fashion statements, or do we care about survival? 

In fact, after my year addressing climate in Specter's office, I learned more and more that the really serious, urgent threat from climate change is (1) NOT simply warming, and certainly not acid oceans; and (2) FAR worse than the public knows. See www.werbos.com/Atacama.pdf. I do not believe that any economically or politically plausible effort to reduce CO2 emissions would have much chance of preventing the very worst outcomes, involving some combination of (1) sea level rise due to the expansion of the new crack in the Antarctic; (2) massive H2S emission from the Pacific, to be expected in maybe 40 years when oxygen layers thin out (but new research is needed to pin that down better); and (3) less massive problems of the same kind in the Arctic, coming sooner because of how shallow that ocean is, also threatening the Gulf Stream (via a new effect, not the salinity gradient we see now from Greenland melting, but a temperature gradient effect). In my view, IEEEUSA could have helped by opening the door to developing geoengineering options, as part of a new space policy, but once again the iron triangle political approach (aka "swamp") stopped that. 

I really hope I was wrong to give up here, but I will not be surprised to hear that I am politically out for even talking about such distractions as whether we all live or die in the end. 

It is true that other nations still offer some hope of survival, but that's a complex subject even more horrifying to the swamp.

Could Congress replace Trump with Romney/Kasich?

OK, it sounds crazy, but things have gone south to an incredible degree in DC, and the more plausible outcomes all look really awful.

Not that things were great before Trump's election either.  Folks who say there are no conspiracies active in DC either haven't been here or don't have open eyes. (Still, I am reminded of the CNN reporters who covered the women's march Saturday, and did not comment on the mass effect of bathrooms being locked up and the unusual resulting flows of people. I suppose there are things no one talks about to the media.) No matter what other mistakes Trump made during the election, he seemed to make two key commitments: (1) NOT to start a war with Russia and Iran, as "the swamp" clearly wanted to force on us; and (2)  to drain the swamp. But he has not been very effective with (1), and demonstrated how lack of situational awareness can make a person worse than nothing regarding (2). Though I voted for Hilary Clinton myself, I did so with a lack of energy and enthusiasm because she too lacked enough situational awareness, and would probably be in even DEEPER trouble than Trump at this time if she had been elected. The issues (1) and (2), in the noosphere surrounding US voters, rammed through Trump. (Yes, folks, predictive models do require adequate inputs on key variables. No, I don't need a lesson on first grade predictive analytics. I refrain from teaching the advanced classes, because I know who is ready to misuse it immediately and thoughtlessly.)

Carl Icahn explained his support for Trump on TV in 2016: "We need a new Teddy Roosevelt." We certainly do.

Many have asked: will Trump simply become the new Queen of England, utterly emasculated, an obedient lap dog of the swamp? He mainly seems to be just standing by, stupified and distracted by events in his own bathroom (CNN), even as the would-be new Great Caliph (Erdogan) not only invades Syria but murders the allies who stopped the last great pretender.

Or will the Russia hysteria not only get rid of him, but return to the stupid war agenda of the defense lobbyists in the swamp (not civil servants but the kind of lobbyists accurately depicted in the book Atlas Shrugged, the real swamp, who have direct wires into almost all federal agencies, the real "secret societies" of hired hands well-known to top DOD folks)?

Is there any hope at all for this country, or are we on an iron path to repeating what Byzantium experienced, something I have learned a lot about through time?

OK, let's go back to Teddy Roosevelt. There was once such a thing as an honest government movement, which was more than just a tea party but tapped into the honest noosphere part which tea party also INITIALLY tapped into. My (orphan) mother's guardian, Mary McFadden, may have done more to safeguard this republic than I ever have, because of the work she did with the Pennsylvania Economy League... AND what it connected to and led to.

No impeachment of Trump is going to replace him with Hillary Clinton, and Pence has supported chaos and lies and demonstrated even less awareness than Trump of what really goes on in DC. So in that case, Romney might well be the best hope. Not Romney/Ryan; Ryan is not a healing figure for the nation, and civil strife is a growing risk at multiple levels. (With enough civil strife, we all lose, no matter who seems to win. I feel sad as I say that, as 23andme says that Ryan is a distant cousin, at least if his Irish forbears were in the wave of the 1600's.) But Romney/Kasich might just do it.

But is it even possible? Well, if ever there was a time when folks might reconsider amending our constitution to be more like Germany's, this might be it. Brilliant US political scientists and military leaders helped Germany write a new Constitution after WWII, specifically engineered to cope with extreme political polarization. Could it be that this is our time now? 


Or then again... will the constitution erode further, and result in a 2020 election, say, between Schwartzenegger and Hillary Clinton? (Don't underestimate the noospheric energy which might support Schwartzenegger.) It's funny, because the first part of the movie Terminator III looks exactly like that. The movie is horrible... but great in depicting what to avoid. Or at least part of what to avoid. There is also more truth than you might think in the movie Wall-E.

============

In truth, yesterday I went with Luda to see "The Last Jedi," in fantastic IMAX 3D at the national air and space museum. (Unlike Saturday, we walked to metro and took metro to get there.) There were about 12 of us at the 6PM showing. Some parts make no sense to me, but I really do worry about what could happen to The Republic here, and I am sad about the naive belief that any kind of emperor could know enough personally to prevent degeneration and collapse of human life itself. Trump has far less power than that, but is already a great object lesson in delusions about what a Great Leader can do without a responsive social structure as well. There are also "libertarians" who effectively stand for nothing but absolute unlimited dictatorship by forces outside the legal government as such even less responsive and informed -- i.e. "the swamp".

Tuesday, January 23, 2018

How and why to explain and enhance psi (aka “soul”)


There has been an intense discussion this week about “psi” this past week, sponsored by the Vedanta Society but including major skeptics, leading parapsychologists, neuroscientists and others. Here is what I come out with from that.
Contents: the bottom line for humanity here; issue of whether it is real; why I propose the “baby noosphere” theory to explain it; practical applications, response to what they sent me about “third eye” yoga; and evaluation of the mixed impact we have seen from major religions, sometimes helpful and sometimes serving other interests.

BOTTOM LINE =======================================================
Many of us believe that there is overwhelming evidence that humans have “psi” abilities beyond what we can explain by the mundane capabilities of the brain. In my view, there is no way to explain such a thing rationally without assuming that we have what some call “souls” – living parts of us. I will give you my logic soon, but first, as a quick summary – it is like Dante’s idea that we ourselves are half beast and half angel. It leads to the old Rosicrucian idea that we should not waste time and energy on wars between the beast and the angel, but should seek an amicable and efficient “alchemical marriage” of close cooperation between the two.
For me, the bottom line is as follows: In trying to help humanity as much as I can, I focus on two ultimate, overriding values: (1) minimizing the probability that our mundane species (“the beasts”) becomes extinct before its time; and (2) maximizing the full attainment of human potential, for example by developing special schools aimed at maximizing the growth and strength of human bodies, brains AND souls. (Friends Community School in Maryland was set up with that charter, as was West Point! But on a recent visit to West Point, their talking points about soul all involved football and such, not quite living up to all that we humans can learn to do. George Washington understood better, but I guess he was never on their faculty.) The challenge of developing the soul part is an age-old value, which has inspired all kinds of wild efforts, but if we can understand better what is going on here, we may be able to do better.

ISSUE OF WHETHER IT IS REAL ==============================================
In my view, it is rational that some people simply do not believe in the existence either of psi or of soul. Others disagree. The discussion:
X wrote: However, from my perspective as an empiricist, I see the insistence of a theory before acceptance of data as not only completely backwards, but antithetical to science. Data must be allowed to trump theory, otherwise science is the same as religion.

My reply:
OK, epistemology, including epistemology of science (first person or third person), is a proper subject for this list. There are times when the followers of Popper and even Kuhn seem to be as far out of touch as the most extreme hermits in the woods.. but the subject is important.

I deeply respect Donald Hebb's reasons for rejecting parapsychology, and believe we need to understand and respect them. Hebb understood what science IS as much as anyone. I view him as the grandfather of the neural network field, on its mother's side. (Von Neumann being the other grandfather, more my side.) His book, The Organization of Behavior, does say a FEW things which now look silly to me, but it is far more profound than most of what I see written today about those subjects, and I recommend it to anyone who is serious about brains and consciousness. 

In the preface to his book, he argues that we need to think of inference by science itself in Bayesian terms. (My updated version of that is in www.werbos.com/Mind_in_Time.pdf, published in Russia.) As we try to develop the kind of theories which are capable of predicting things, we ask what their probability of truth is. From Bayes Law, we know that it is a convolution of the "likelihood" term (probability we would have seen what we did, if the theory is right, REQUIRING stochasticity in serious theories) WITH the "prior" term. The two terms are precisely EQUAL in importance in the mathematics. For psi, he argues that the likelihood is better than what we see with most theories in psychology (lots of evidence) but not so much better that it outweighs the low prior probability based on what we know about how the universe works. For many years, I agree with Hebb, but then two things happened to change MY first person probability assessment:

    (1) a direct personal experience so overwhelming (veridical) that it forced me to be open-minded, to upgrade the likelihood term;
    (2) after I was open-minded, not only more experience, but study of physics showing me that it is not so physically impossible as I had thought (for reasons I have mentioned here).

It is quite rational for some people to feel that there is very little probability of psi being real, based on the information available to THEM about the likelihood term and the prior term. 
It is rational for scientists engaged in science to follow Bayesian thinking. Discussions related to the prior term are also within the rules of third person science, if those discussions themselves are rational. 


I discussed this in more detail in the Mind_in_Time paper. I have wondered: how many of us have had the kind of first person experience which justifies our paying real attention to this area? One of the Vedanta discussion group members recently told us about a study which shows that the belief of scientists in psi correlates very closely with whether they really looked in a serious way at the empirical findings, which in turn correlates with their personal experience, but how many of us are there? Heisenberg’s interest in yoga and Vedanta is very well-documented, as is Schrodinger’s in Sufism, but activist opponents have argued that people like Heisenberg and Schrodinger were just sloppily falling into believing what their parents believed or that they were not as independent and creative in their thinking as the activists themselves. I wonder.

How many of us are there? The best information I know of to answer that question comes from a massive  NSF-funded survey aimed at probing the deep values of the American people. The survey had many findings, but I am most intrigued by those described in a popular summary written for the New York Times Magazine, “Are we a Nation of Mystics?”, by Greeley and McCready, reprinted in Goleman’s book Consciousness (which I recommend very highly to anyone interested in that subject). Based on their analysis of variance, about 70% of Americans with PhDs in the peak earning years would answer “yes” to the question: “Have you ever had the feeling of being very close to a powerful spiritual force that seemed to lift you out of yourself?” That sounds a lot more lurid than the experience in March 1967 which drive me to be open-minded about psi, but also a lot less
“veridical”. (That experience is described in section 3 of http://www.werbos.com/Space_personal_Werbos.htm, a chapter in Krone, R. M. (2006). Beyond earth: the future of humans in space (Vol. 58). Collectors Guide Pub., Apogee Books.) Greeley and McCready called for further survey research to learn what is really going on here, but I haven’t found any evidence that it was ever funded.

70?!!!  Could it really be that high? Could it be that issues like psi and spiritual experience have become taboo subjects, like sex in the Victorian era, when babies still kept being born but many people pretended they had no idea how or had nothing to do with it personally? As best we know, that’s how it is here. In any case, those of us who seriously think there may well be (or certainly is) something real here have good reason to pay lots of attention to the big question:

What IS going on here? How could we possibly explain it? What does it imply, logically, for our larger plans in life?

My answer:
The Vedanta group recently discussed two issues regarding psi: (1) demonstrating that psi is real (where I basically just agree with Dean Radin); (2) understanding how and why it works, SO THAT we have a basis for expanding and developing it further.

Many years ago, in pondering the second question, I asked myself questions like: "Does QED allow the construction of a box smaller than a sphere of diameter one meter, capable of using quantum technology to pick remote sites anywhere on earth at will and send back an image of what is there?" Governments have spent billions on that kind of thing, and I don't see any sign of a hope of a possibility of doing it. If WE HUMANS can do it (as in the huge literature on remote viewing), how could we explain it , in a way which helps us do it better?

I am sorry, Ram, but I don't see how attaching words like "consciousness" to fields like the fields of QED and EWT would make the explanation easier, or the device constructable, either by machines or in biology. The sheer switching capability involved in picking a remote part of the earth, or, even more, tapping into thoughts far away,
is ONLY plausible in my view, if it exists as a property of an EVOLVED COMPLEX BIOLOGICAL SYSTEM CONNECTING those remote locations with our location.
In short, it requires a "noosphere," a living "brain" based on something OTHER than the familiar fields of QED. Since we know that dark matter is more plentiful than ordinary matter in our cosmos, and we now know that it forms a kind of vast connected ocean, this is actually a very natural and logical explanation, once you get used to it. One would actually EXPECT evolution to lead to bodies, brains and consciousness in such an ocean of life anyway; the idea that we are CONNECTED to such a noosphere brain is just as plausible as any of the other proposed answers I have heard to Fermi's paradox. (Brin's pleasant novel Existence includes a nice review of the others.) 

I do hope that some of you would be interested in following up on that approach and what it implies, citing:
[1] P. Werbos, Unification of Objective Realism and Spiritual Development, http://scsiscs.org/conference/index.php/scienceandscientist/2017/paper/view/166/53
[2] David Brin, Existence, Tor Books, 2012

[1] is not just an abstract explanation; in fact, it points to operational possibilities for trying to enhance paranormal and spiritual development, presented (if slightly veiled) in my 2012 paper in Neural networks. And yes, it was informed by reviewing lots of practical mystical literature, including yoga and many other traditions. 

My theory here is NOT identical to that of Teilhard de Chardin, who suggested (like Verdansky) that our noosphere is simply the product of evolution on earth. But in practical terms, there are many similarities, and similarities as well to folks like Sheldrake. For example, de Chardin's book The Activation of Human Energy is very important to the praxis here. Those who just disappear into a cave and seek nothingness may indeed dissolve away into nothingness (as folks like Bannon and ISIS may do in a more active way), but that is not the more natural and sane goal of "mindfulness" which the Dalai Lama talks about. Our progress and survival is very much a function of the invisible spiritual connections we grow to the rest of humanity and to our local (earth? solar system?) noosphere in general. And, OK, it's not JUST connectedness, it is also what we contribute to those connections, as the word "mindfulness" BEGINS to suggest. The analogy to the internet is somewhat useful, but of course it is a much richer network than all of that. 

Perhaps my new theory might be called the “Baby Noosphere Theory: From Gaia to Terry.”




So what are the practical implications of the new theory, relevant to practical issues in psi?

An initial discussion:




On Thu, Jan 18, 2018 at 11:12 AM, Vasavada, Kashyap V <vasavada@iupui.edu> wrote:
Dear Alex,
Have you seen the video posted by Kushal about third eye demonstration? I would like to know your opinion, since you are both a scientist and Vedanta scholar. I am circulating this among my scientist friends to see their opinion. I posted it on a physics blog. The two responses I got were saying that it must be a scam! It is a tough road ahead for scientists studying paranormal activity!
Best Regards.
Kashyap

Thank you, Alex and Kashyap!

I am sorry that those two people were so virulent in dismissing this. But there are many times when the two people who speak first on a list are not representative, but merely the most extreme and overconfident. 

I am also reminded again of what the followers of Levi-Strauss said: remember the witch doctors who unknowingly used penicillin. Even if you dismiss the theory, don't ignore the experience or data which can be found there. If I were not overbooked this week, I might look more deeply into the issue of how to extract what can be learned from this group, and how.

There is a very readable simple book by Paul Sanders, You are Psychic, probably inexpensive from Amazon, which INCLUDES related experience as one of the four types of psi he has tried to work with in a very practical way. In many ways, I prefer Sanders' treatment, because he is not pretentious, because he focuses very directly on what he has learned over the years paying real attention to hundreds of people, and because the "third eye" part is rightly seen as just one of several ways people can develop their psi capabilities. Sanders is highly empirical, not up to the usual standards of third person science, but neither was Carl Jung; even Freud did not quite make it, and it took many years before his most basic ideas were translated into workable mathematics which we now use to build intelligent machines. But the kind of start which Sanders (and earlier Freud) offer is an important part of the "food chain" of scientific understanding, and it should be valued. 

My explanation of this, and of "chakra" stuff in general, is NOT that any part of the brain functions as a third eye, or as a dedicated receiver/transmitter of the force fields which carry psi information. Instead, the active receiver/transmitter is located in our "souls", the nonmundane biological part of our being, which are also capable of learning over time. Some people LEARN to interface via the frontal part of the brain (as do the "third eye" people, as do the folks whom Sanders classifies as the "intuitive" types). Some people learn more to interface through visual cortex, or auditory cortex. Part of the learning is in brain, but more is in "soul" learning better how to express itself through brain, in a process somewhat related to poltergeist and PK. 

Actually, my wife and I and younger son had great fun playing with Sanders' book when we first saw it in my brother's house. (It now sits in the kindle reader on the Imac I am typing into right now.) I clearly fit into his "intuitive" category ( a third eye type), while my wife was roughly half that and half clairovoyant. (The system is oversimplified, but so much better than assuming just one type like third eye.) One can use exercises of various kinds to try to enhance or diversify -- and it really would be important to understand better exactly how to do that, on a more comprehensive basis. In minor efforts to improve clairovoyance, I have found it helpful to focus on the visual cortex area WHILE also providing the kind of training input related to that task, in real time (not once-per-minute cards and such). Correct, concrete theoretical understanding does help, even if it is far from the explicit mathematical level. Of course, many attempts at training exercises have been tried by many groups through the millennia, sometimes with success, sometimes not, certainly all needing improvement.

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One of the Vedanta people argued that the leaders of major religions have been 100% helpful in raising consciousness and capabilities here... but I argued that it has been a kind of mixed picture, like Toynbee's picture of the up-and-down progress of civilization in general:


How much have factors like simple mundane adrenalin, testosterone and androgen converted human religions and ideologies into a mixed bag, some growth but some regression, even at the birth of great cultural movements? 

I referred to only TWO aspects of how I have at times analyzed the progressions in more detail:  the new Freudian concept of defense mechanisms (as people may learn more mature ego defense mechanisms, described by Valliant) and a more general Hegelian concept (resolving contradictions, as in thesis antithesis synthesis, perhaps familiar to Joe as the "law of the triangle" in Western mysticism). But I also felt bad later that I did not even mention Freud's initial core concept, of working out traumatic (or euphoric) memories which bias the mind; we now understand these in mathematical terms, and this mathematics is what I was REALLY thinking about when I referred to "hot buttons".

Those of you who have already attained godhood (unlike humanity as a whole or even the noosphere as a whole) need not learn more about the challenges of further spiritual progression, and may simply sign out of discussing details irrelevant to them. But I for one freely admit I am quite imperfect, and need to work on all these dimensions (and more) of my own personal consciousness, both mundane and spiritual, both of self and of Self. Even our authentic spiritual leaders have had imperfections and struggles; indeed, they would never have gotten as far as they did WITHOUT those struggles, struggles which like physical exercises in childhood are vital to development and growth. 

We started this thread discussing Islam, an aspect of our collective intelligence which we will never forget if our consciousness is at a high enough level. There are certainly some interesting stories out there of the struggles which Mohammed went through, as there are of Jesus in the desert and such. I especially remember the story of a general confronting Mohammed as to whether his feelings about a coming battle were part of his verified spiritual input (like the white horse place) or a more ordinary mixed kind of feeling. Mohammed struggled with that (as best I recall), and said that THIS case was more the second type. His struggle and his admission were crucial to the success in that battle. At that moment, he struggled with a common kind of delusion of grandeur, and won that struggle with himself, his itzjihad. But victory was not just done and over. ALL of us on a meaningful, authentic spiritual path must CONTINUE to constantly struggle both with delusions of grandeur and delusions of helplessness. None of us are infallible, not even the leaders of authentic spiritual movements, let alone political imitators of such. 

I also felt bad, thinking over my initial post, that someone might imagine a criticism of Pope Francis. (Since many people "hear" things different from what I wrote, I have been even more worried.) The doctrine of infallibility, like the doctrine that Mohammed is the last prophet, do both have a kind of basic status of anathema, but Francis in particular has done so much to bring back more authenticity and spirit to the Catholic Church that I would certainly not want to propose changes which elevate folks like Ted Cruz instead. Somehow that reminds me of Condoleeza Rice and the challenge of how to actually strengthen democracy and freedom in a meaningful way -- not a trivial challenge, and not unrelated to allowing authentic growth of the spirit. 

As for Yeshua himself -- certainly a valid theme for discussion, but this particular email is maybe too long already. I did mention him in my initial post -- a long post, but brief relative to the subject itself. 

 VINOD:

During Vashshitha or Vishwamitra's period, neither there were temples nor Hindus. Their message was meant for all humans of that period as well as for future generation.

During Buddha's period, neither there were Buddhists nor any pagodas. The message of Buddha was equally applicable to all sections of humanity at that period and of future.


Perhaps I should at least have added Buddha to my brief list. Fair enough. I was just giving examples, but yes Buddha is important enough I should have added one word anyway. Sorry.

As for the Aryan initiators of core Vedas, I deliberately did NOT pick an example, because it is too complicated and too hard to access in an agreed fashion so many millennia later in time. I would sooner have picked Lao Tzu, who is said by some serious people to be more than one person. But certainly they were wrestling with very serious and cosmic issues, beyond even just this tiny planet, even as they also had struggles with lots of adrenalin, testosterone and androgen. (Indeed, how much did estrogen and progesterone get reflected directly in the Vedas too?  I leave that questoin for others to wrestle with.) If I felt called to write a longer summary of the spiritual history of humanity, I would certainly have mentioned "the people of the horse" (like the early Indo-Aryans and like Genhghiz Khan of "the great blue sky" and Tiananmen and my wife's people and Scythia), the "people of the boat", the shamans of hunter-gatherers, and the priest kings of settled agriculture from early Sumeria. Lessons from that entire history are pertinent to this list, but  again this email is a bit long already, especially when some folks may only read the first sentence or two. 

 
Then who did prompted the dogfights? some mistaken followers of these spiritual leaders, who forget and started misinterpreting the universal teachings of their own spiritual leaders. created an ironclad institutional set up around their teachings. The fact is that over the period universal teachings of the great spiritual leaders have become secondary while institutional setup, having a complex network of customs/rules/regulations. This is the irony of every religion on the globe.


Yes. Even science and ideology have the same kind of entropy at work. (PLEASE, no one, take this use of the word "entropy" in too much of a cosmic or absolute sense!) Many forms of growth are "punctuated," with periods of surge forward, and periods of reconsolidation. The "entropy" both in religion and in government world-wide seems so overwhelming that I would EXPECT this species to go extinct relatively soon, were it not for a serious hope of "divine intervention" -- an intervention which we as part of the noosphere can contribute to directly, if we care enough to struggle enough with ourselves. I do consider the initial elevation of Pope Francis to be an example of that.

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OK: they asked more..

... wrote:

Regarding what Charles Whitehead wrote: """What impresses me is not that psi disobeys natural laws, it doesn't seem too obey any laws at all, natural or supernatural. To me, this suggests that psi comes from a more fundamental level of reality than the laws of physics. """ and your and others' replies...

Me: This quotation from Whitehead should be followed by a quotation from Arthur C. Clarke, easily found on a google search:
==========================
Clarke's Third Law: Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic. Clarke's Fourth Law: For every expert there is an equal and opposite expert. Clarke's Law of Revolutionary Ideas: Every revolutionary idea — in science, politics, art, or whatever — seems to evoke three stages of reaction
=====================


I really enjoy being able to recall an old book, and instantly get a link to where you could buy it for $3 from Amazon if you are really interested in the topic. (Lately, I do a lot of"kindle one-click" to see something instantly.) Clarke's "Third Law" has rightly drawn a lot of attention:


==========================

The term "doesn't seem to obey any laws" certainly applied to things like weather and lightning for many centuries. What "seems" magical and inexplicable is relative to what one understands.

In the Western tradition, Rosicrucians have been especially emphatic that nothing they study is "supernatural"; it is all about trying to understand and apply the relevant natural laws. That approach certainly goes back to the ancient Greeks. I have wondered at times how much Yeshua himself might have owed to Empedocles... though ofcourse we now have more of the prerequisites to understand such things. (Actually, there is a part of the New Testament where someone asks Yeshua why he uses parables so much, instead of being explicit. As best I recall, Yeshua replied: "Sorry, you don't have the prerequisites yet to understand it all explicitly. But in the future, the Spirit of Truthwill appear upon the earth, and the prerequisites will be made available." I sure hope so, and I hope we survive this very difficult period we are entering. It is so much like teenage years in nature, where we may grow or we may die. 



On Sun, Jan 21, 2018 a..... wrote:
 
Regarding your, """If we were still awaiting the Spirit of Truth then I think I would agree with your [Paul's] somewhat despairing tone. 

Me: This is an interesting sentence for me to wake up to today. {SHUTDOWN DAY 2). There are days when we must wrestle with delusions of grandeur, and days when we must wrestle with delusions of helplessness. All of us must, forever, except on OTHER days, and except for those who are resigned to ... less connection. But today's despair feelings are  not at all related to what I said about spirit of truth. I understand Colin's reading of what I said, but when I posted that quote from Yeshua/Jesus I had a thoroughly positive view. The view is that a lot of the apparent insanity and fragmentation in our world is NOT really insanity, but is ACTUALLY just a natural, normal process of immaturity and growth. Like three year olds looking at a car, we don't know the algebra needed to really know how cars really work (like Carnot's Laws), but we WILL learn it in time, and it IS HERE to some extent now. 

What causes me to feel bad this morning are reminders, for example, that presence of the spirit of truth and the acceptance of that spirit are not the same thing. Access to an algebra class is not the same as learning algebra. Debates on the government shutdown now underway here
have involved issue not only of truthfulness, but of respect for honor, duty, and the basic simple floor provided by basic principles of the constitution (which does NOT speak on all issues, but speaks very clearly on some). I even did facebook and twitter posts yesterday: 
"How to create an instant swamp: wait until 100,000 people come to the national mall, and then lock up all the bathrooms." (The reality of this was brought home to me because my wife and I walked from one side of the mall to the other, and back, and took pictures of this.)

But there are other difficulties which I probably should not discuss here and now. 

It is wrong to elevate the words "calm, relax" (CR?) into a theory of the meaning of life (or lack of it), but there are times when that is what is called for as one part of the larger rhythm, as we sort things out. It is ironic that one of the topics of debate in Washington is whether certain people (like certain Zen style Buddhists, quite the opposite of Tibetan in some ways) have OVERUSED the CR, and avoided what must be faced up to.

Who knows?

Best of luck,

   Paul



HIM: However,  as I suspect that the Spirit of Truth is what has got us to this point,  I think we have reason for hope (though I would agree that it looks like there are difficult times ahead). Of course,  we all must die. Science certainly gives us reason to doubt that any afterlife we have will be anything rich and meaningful if it is up to chance where we end up.  Consequently,  if there is any hope of beating chance through securing the assistance of an omnipotent consciousness, I would jump at that opportunity.""",  

ME: It doesn't have to be omnipotent or omniscient to offer more hope. Maybe when children are VERY small, their chances of survival are greater if they simple assume their parents are all-wise, so that they listen when given guidance that can save their lives. But at some point, we can realize BOTH that our parents are not abstract deities, AND that we should listen to them, and even try hard to learn to listen better.

 

HIM: My guess, regarding  the Spirit of Truth trying to communicate with humans through individual humans, is s/he/it would often likely have to settle for "Close enough..." where we move through a series of successive approximations, via shifting tectonic plates, more or less like we witness as having happened and doing. 


I apologize that I did not make this point myself clearly enough to begin with